Skip to main content

Fintech revolution -------- Digital lending platforms


v  Marrying Finance and Technology.
v  Availability of data from many sources.
i)        Data from Aadhaar
ii)       Data from Credit Bureau
iii)     Data from Fraud score card
iv)     Data from Algorithmic score card
v)       Duplication
v  Given this data, putting altogether, decision taken.
v  This is an infrastructure.
v  Average of 10% of their loans was going digitally, without seeing their clients.
v  Many new financial institutions, having no track record history, has become significant.
v  Financial institutions, newly incepted have no customers.
v  225 start-up companies in the lending business for 2 years now.
v  This is alternative lending business.
v  Next 5 years, see a growth of 30-40% of their loans going digitally.
v  Aadhaar, Jandhan will leave a digital foot print.
Origination Data Monitoring Delivery Maintenance.
v  GST will be the formalization of economy, i.e. 45 million micro enterprises, which have not paid tax, which have not registered, will come into the formal economy or disappear. All of them require funding.
v  CIBIL captures only credit card transactions.
v  Identifying credit profile of individuals – Mobile phone data.
v  28 million credit cards, 800 million debit cards.
v  Biggest source of data – Mobile phone data.
v  Given access to an individual mobile phone data, decisions can be made.
v  By opening up this access, from TRAI, credit penetration in India will boost up.
v  Data privacy, given an individual’s email address, a complete profile can be figured out.
v  UPI Vs Wallets
v  Future on Fintech revolution
i)        For last 20-30 years, lending happened to large corporates.
ii)       SME financing and consumer financing pie was very small
iii)     10% of India credit to SME
iv)     16% of India credit to Consumer
v)       74% of India credit to large corporates and priority lending.
vi)     Now things changing drastically
vii)   RBI said, large corporates after 2020 can’t borrow more than a $1 Billion from banks, after that go to Bond markets. So, this will push more money to small borrowers.
viii)  Next 3 years or so, the alternative channels other than conventional banks will show a huge surprise.
ix)     Rs.110 Lakh crore deposits, 70 lakh crore going to private sector and the rest goes to Government. (How much the Indian credit will change) I.e. credit side of India (in total) – Rs.110 Lakh crore.
v  Need for collateral, with information will be reduced.
v  620 million under age of 25, so 2 years not sufficient but 5-7 years.
v  Regulatory challenges – Cyber security, KYC
v  The next big leap for UPI- 400 million smartphone users. First, how to reach out to these 400 million smartphone users. Large players like Amazon, Flipkart, etail players, social media players, banks, wallet providers like PayTm, which is participating in the UPI bandwagon.
v  Expanding the UPI user base.
1)      Allowing payments banks to give loans does not work. (like Airtel)
2)      Micro Finance Institution (MFI)–Bank partnership.
3)      Have seen behavioural change in MFI companies. Need skill and scale for financial inclusion has to be truly economic inclusion.
4)      43% mobile phones.

v  Fintech is basically start Ups using technology to disrupt everything that a bank does today.
Disruptions like,
i)        From Payments- Mobikwik, Freecharge, PayTm, RazorPay
ii)       Remittances – Oxigen, ItZ, PayWorld, novopay
iii)     POS – eZetap, PineLabs, Swipe
iv)     Consumer lending – BankBazaar, Faircent, ZestFinance, Rinomina
v)       SME lending – Capital Float, LendingKart, indifi
vi)     Insurance – PolicyBazaar, Coverfox
vii)   Savings and wealth management – FundsIndia, Moneyview, Scripbox

v  Why SME lending is ripe for disruption? – Demand, Technology, Capital
v  Demand: 30 million SMEs in the country today, contributing 20% of GDP, 40% of jobs, 40% of exports.
Total debt demand form SMEs in India - $433 billion
Funded by banks and NBFCs – 27%
Ineligible for funding – 35%
Unmet demand – 38%, nearly $200-300 billion
v  Technology: Electronic Clearances (ECS, NEFT, NACH, IMPS, etc.) surpassed paper clearances (cheques)
Digital footprint like WhatsApp, Facebook, LinkedIn
v  Algorithm – online Application form, typically applications coming in between 1 and 3pm, 5 and 8pm have best chance of getting a loan. But people applying between 11 and 4 pm has less chance. If he/she enters the entire application form I caps, means literacy at the lower side. As the app is in his phone, it can be able to fetch data about SMS, Bank statements. Connected to credit bureau via API to see or pull what the other loans he has and how he’s paying them off. He log into the app via Facebook, so we get to know how many friends he’s got within the region, is he well connected within the region, his comments negative or more positive, all these add to his credit score. We also include a Psychometric test, which ask questions such as if you won the lottery, how you gone spend the money, spend on rent, education, for a party etc., this get to know about the integrity of the borrower. Also, his e-commerce data, how much he travels on RedBus, MakeMyTrip, put together, create a digital footprint. By which a loan within 10 minutes, without paper work, without collateral.
v  Lending is set to grow 5 times in 10 years.
v  SME lending will have a significant pie.
v  Current market cap (FY’16)- Total - $170 Billion
Banks- $127 Billion, NBFC- $41 Billion, Fintech- $2 Billion.
Estimated Market cap (FY 2026) - Total - $600 Billion



Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Foreign Inflows Fuel Indian Market Surge: A Weekly Market Update

  Dear Reader, Foreign Portfolio Inflows Propel Indian Markets The Indian markets experienced a surge in foreign portfolio funds, propelling the Nifty to conquer Mount 19k and even target Mount 20k. Inflows into India Equity Funds reached their highest level since Q2 2015, while India Bond Funds also saw a record weekly inflow until July 12. De-Sinofication and Asian Stock Rush One major factor behind the inflows is de-Sinofication, as Western investors turn away from China and seek opportunities in other Asian markets. This shift in flows has been driven by disappointment over China's recovery, leading foreign investors to seek refuge in Asian stocks. US Dollar's Impact on Emerging Markets The weakening US dollar has been bullish for emerging markets, including India. Renowned strategist Stephen Jen predicts further USD depreciation, signaling potential growth for emerging markets. However, some experts caution that the current environment differs significantly fro

India's Retail Investors Face Uncertainty as Earnings Season Brings Risks and Rewards

  Indian retail equity investors are facing some uncertainty with the weakening of foreign portfolio flows and ongoing macroeconomic worries. However, retail investors invested a net Rs 20,534 crore into equity mutual fund schemes in March.  The recent pause by the RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee, this week’s low CPI inflation print, and India’s brighter economic prospects are bringing hope to investors. However, some investors have cautioned that stock valuations are not factoring in the risk of negative surprises in earnings. In this regard, TCS and Infosys’s results were disappointing, and their management commentary was bleak, indicating that the software industry may face a slowdown. Nevertheless, sudden turns and twists in the global economy could mean an upward revision to estimates, which could entice buyers. The effects of these results may be felt in different ways. For instance, a slowdown in hiring by one of the largest employers of India’s skilled and upwardly mobile wor

Banking Sector Earnings Outlook

Welcome to our weekly newsletter, where we bring you the latest insights and trends from the world of finance. This week, our focus is on the upcoming quarterly earnings season, with particular emphasis on the banking sector. It appears that listed firms are poised to deliver another impressive set of numbers, although the pace of growth may vary across sectors. Amidst the noise and excitement, we have identified two key data points that can provide valuable insights for investors. Data Point 1:   Loan Interest Rates The share of loans with interest rates of 9 percent and above has risen to 56.1 percent as of January-March FY23, up from 39 percent in the previous quarter (FY22 Q4). This data point highlights the scope for bank earnings this season. Banks generate revenue by charging interest on loans they provide and paying interest on deposits they receive. The difference between the two is their earnings. While the potential for further lending rate increases is limited, as much of